Group 1
India (4 points, 2.425 NRR)
India, the tournament favorites, are in a strong position to reach the semi-finals, but their fate is not entirely in their hands. A victory over Australia in their final Super Eight match would guarantee their qualification. However, a loss could potentially see them overtaken by Australia or even Afghanistan, who face Bangladesh in their final match.
Australia (2 points, 0.223 NRR)
Australia's shock defeat to Afghanistan has left their semi-final hopes hanging in the balance. A win against India in their final Super Eight encounter would likely secure their place in the final four, but a loss could pave the way for Afghanistan or Bangladesh to take their place.
Afghanistan (2 points, -0.650 NRR)
Afghanistan's stunning upset victory over Australia has kept their semi-final hopes alive. With two points and a negative net run rate, they can qualify for the final four with a win against Bangladesh in their final Super Eight match. They will be hoping that India can do them a favor by defeating Australia earlier in the day, which would make their task significantly easier.
Bangladesh (0 points, -2.489 NRR)
Bangladesh's victory over Afghanistan has given them a lifeline in the race for the semi-finals. They can still reach the final four with a win in their final Super Eight match against Afghanistan, but they will also need India to defeat Australia. If the Men in Blue are able to beat Australia, the Tigers will then need to beat Afghanistan comfortably to boost their net run rate ahead of their Asian rivals and the Aussies.
Group 2
South Africa (4 points, 0.625 NRR)
Despite being undefeated in the tournament so far, South Africa could still miss out on the semi-finals if they lose to the West Indies. Their destiny remains in their own hands, with a victory against the tournament co-hosts enough to ensure they top their group and set up a semi-final clash against the second-placed finisher in Group 1.
West Indies (2 points, 1.814 NRR)
The equation is simple for the Caribbean side - defeat South Africa to reach the semi-finals. A loss to the Proteas could also see the West Indies qualify, but they would then have to rely on the USA defeating England in the other Group 2 contest and finishing with a superior net run rate to both sides.
England (2 points, 0.412 NRR)
A victory over the USA in their final Super Eight contest should see the defending champions reach the final four. A narrow triumph - coupled with a similarly close West Indies victory - could see England miss out on net run rate, but a win is likely to be sufficient.
USA (0 points, -2.908 NRR)
While the tournament co-host can still mathematically qualify for the final four, they would need everything to go their way. They would need to comfortably defeat England in their final match of the Super Eight and overtake the defending champions' net run rate in the process. They would also need South Africa to record a similar-sized victory over the West Indies, so that the Caribbean side falls behind the USA's net run rate.
